You are obsolete. It just hasn't hit you yet. Imagine, if you will, an o3 model that has a much much larger context window, one that can hold in RAM the entirety of US case law, the entire legal corpus, every document a company or individual has or has ever had, and it has the ability (this is already so) to adjust argument based on jury pool, based on judge, based on plaintiff's facial structure, based on defense's breakfast preference, and so on to essentially the smallest conceivably detail that could effect the case. Now, in this world, you want a human lawyer?

    I work in insurance, I see how the system works. In a very broad sense, an insurance company balance risk of investment portfolio with risk of exposure. The application of said balance happens through a network of human beings, capricious and fallible human beings, through manager's who are overbearing or underbearing, through systems that have limitations. When a UT [0] runs some analysis with some insight on how the UWs [1] need to adapt to some changing risk environment, the message is slow. What I'm describing here, of course, is Org Theory 101. And what does Org Theory 101 have to say? It asks us: why do you want humans in places where you could have AI agents? Why not have 10 people collect say $100m in investment, decide a general risk that they're willing to accept, and have top to bottom AI agent insurance? Sure, an AI can't walk the floor of the market, it can't gather insights from the garden parties on Long Island attended by the CEOs of the major firms. But who cares? It knows infinitely more than they'll ever know, it understands macro and micro economies better than they ever could.

    It seems to me once the context window is large enough, there's nothing in the realm of cognitive tasks that you'd rather have done by a human. I'm struggling to see where people like me (supposedly high skill cognitive labor) fit into this world. Perhaps my managerial skills (by which I mean AI agent managerial skills) will provide safe haven in some future job market. But it's difficult to see, from where I'm sitting.

[0]: Underwriter Technicians who look more broadly at what UWs under them are writing, and provide guidance.

[1]: underwriter